Dynamic Interactions Between Interest-Rate and Credit Risk: Theory and Evidence on the Credit Default Swap Term Structure∗

نویسندگان

  • REN-RAW CHEN
  • XIAOLIN CHENG
  • LIUREN WU
  • Morgan Stanley
چکیده

This paper examines the interaction between default risk and interest-rate risk in determining the term structure of credit default swap spreads at different industry sectors and credit rating classes. The paper starts with a parsimonious three-factor interest-rate dynamic term structure and projects the credit spread at each industry sector and rating class to these interest-rate factors while also allowing the projection residual dynamics to depend on the level of the interest-rate factors. Estimation shows that credit risk exhibits intricate dynamic interactions with the interest-rate factors. JEL Classification: E43, G12, G13, C51.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011